So, the truth has finially come out...
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/science/earth/21climate.html
Man created global warming has been politicized to the point that scientists have been rigging the results of tests to get the desired result. This is not science, and all those "scientists" should lose their grants, teaching licenses, and be barred from ever touching a beaker
Seriously, has science died? What has the world come to that the nations of the world were getting close to passing greatly limiting, taxing and controling treaties all based on false information? What should be done with the whole "green" agenda that has now been proven to be based on lies?
Thoughts?
--- Over 1000 replies makes this a very hot topic ---
Therefore I will continue to update with the unraveling of the IPCC and politicized science. (new articles will be placed first)
Please keep the topics a little more on point from here on out, thanks.
- Glacer calculation show to be false, and scientist refuses to apologize...
- More errors in report?
- Opinion paper - Rigging climate 'consensus'
The problem is that they try to get it taught in our public schools.
Hardly, it has just begun:
GreenpeaceGate
HansenGate
Cooking the Books
4 Gates of the Apocalypse
But then I guess all that is left of the religious AGW is slander, slurs and lies.
LOL religion.
What? It's not like it would clash with all the horseshit we teach regarding history. The entire subject from kindergarten to college is utter bollocks. Since we've doomed ourselves into repeating history, over and over and over, we might as well apply the same standards to science. Anything someone makes up should be included.
Oh how true this is....
And sad at the same time.
Its so funny how fast this 20 years of "climate change" is unraveling. Lies evaporate when the light of truth hits them.
The more I've read about this issue, the more convinced I've become that the 'problem' is not so much with the science as it is with the notion of an 'IPCC.' It's a fundamentally political institution, created by a political body (the UN) under entirely false pretenses at worst (foolish pretenses at best), the favor of which has become as important (to many) as the science, if not more so.
I know of no other scientific discipline that has allowed itself to be seduced by such a process, and for, by now obvious, good reason. No one should really be surprised that such a process has led to such behavior, powerfully influenced by the understanding that there is a single 'referee' - politicization of the science was virtually inevitable. Trying, through a vehicle such as IPCC, to impose order on the (normal & healthy) chaos of science was doomed from the beginning.
Links and post has been updated, the truth is coming to light for the world to see what america is truly sorry for... its own stupidity.
May we all learn how to educate ourselves and not just absorb the ramblings of "educators"
Thoughts on these new articles?
A climate change is occurring, ask the pacific island countries that are going underwater. Polar ice caps are shrinking. Change is occurring. But why? And what do we do about it?
CO2 levels are rising, of that there is no doubt. Ecosystems will change in response, for example increased CO2 translates to increased acidity in the oceans, which translates to increased stress on corals and shell producing organisms. Increased CO2 will benefit plants that make maximum use of CO2.
There is alot of change in ecosystems around the world, overfishing seems to be leading to jelly swarms, humans are polluting and overusing water supplies and acid rain has been around for years. Apparently you can go to any ocean in the world with a shifting device and scoop up heaps of plastic waste. Increased consumption, especially with more countries developing, will lead to more damage and change.
Even if climate change is not due to human activity we are screwing things up for our future generations due to our appetite for consumption.
Well, I am sure glad that you are not one of those 'consumers', but someone that takes it seriously enough to rid yourself of all those polluting items in your life - except for your computer, that is (and your electricity, heat, air conditioning, and everything else that makes you so comfy).
Truth is, we would have to go back to the stone age and reduce our population by many billions to make a significant change in our contribution to 'Global Warming'. Do you really want that? Are you willing to live with that (or die for 'the cause')?
I'm not.
I'm more for making due. I'm more for accepting that we are making the planet a little warmer by our activities, and adjusting to the new conditions - instead of trying to reverse something that can not be reversed without nearly wiping ourselves out in the process.
This whole notion of going back to the pollution levels of a couple decades ago to mitigate the warming is simply stupid. If our activities for the past hundred years have been causing 'Global Warming', then we would have to reduce our pollution levels back to those of a hundred or more years ago. And that would kill all but a few (relatively speaking) of us.
Your right, while I choose not to use air-con and not to use heating in winter I do consume more than my fill, simply because I live in a western society. I drive my car and scooter alot (1.3L Nissan Micra and 125cc Honda, both very cheap) and out household has 3 laptops and a TV. Our house is rented and constructed in an energy inefficient way. We want to build our own home using strawbale and have a composting toilet. We would love to include solar and wind energy into our home. We will have two goats to mow the lawn, to go along with the three chicken we have for eggs.
So yes, the entire worlds population couldn't live like me, simply because there is not enough materials to support what I (and my share of my society) have. But I am part of a movement to change away from excess and I do my part.
I don't know about going back to the stone age, any reduction would be beneficial.
Um, no. It would help if you understood what you are talking about: Islands Sinking
Uh, no again. Again, please research and do not accept Al gore's lies unequivocally: Antarctic and Arctic
You got that right. But then CO2 is not a lethal gas, but a necessary gas. Plants require it and people breath it. Indeed, CO2 levels have been much higher in the past: Prof Lindzen
Um, wrong again. The oceans are the scrubbers of excess CO2. Alkalye
Very true and correct. However polution is not AGW. Polution is a problem, and should be dealt with. but we are being distracted by the shysters (Al Gore, Rajendri Pachauri) into believing their money making agenda. If we locked up both of them (and their cohorts) and concentrated on the problem we would probably be able to solve it. But not as long as we are chasing fairies.
This thread is still going, eh? And I still am seeing a lot of crappy media articles being thrown around still.
I only read the one about Antarctic ice (didn't have much time), but talk about a huge pile of misquoted exerpts that miss the context completely. Here is a transcript from Dr. Ian Allison (the scientist that pretty much the article is based on).
http://www.aussmc.org/documents/IanAllisontranscript.pdf
Almost all of the quotes in that article takes things he said out of context. The article titled "Antarctic ice is growing not melting away" has a completely different tone than his actual transcript. If you read his transcript (which is not out of context) you will understand Dr. Ian Allison's take on Antarctic ice melting and how he clearly feels that Antarctic melting is going to contribute to sea level rises and that it is definitely shrinking in mass. Yet, if you were to read that article that Dr Guy posted, you'd come away thinking that Dr. Ian Allison thinks the southern ice cap is actually growing.Yet another misleading media article that takes a scientists words and twists them. And I like how Dr Guy says "please research" as if looking up media articles counts as research.
I gotta go.
We're in good company with the IPCC on that score.
I see you cannot even take your own medicine. And please re-examine the referenced quote. I dont care if antartica is turning purple! But one thing they all show is it aint melting! So take your own advice and RTFM.
Yes, your response was. Please do better next time.
I will do some reading on what you say.
As for the CO2 thing see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbonic_acid.
CO2 + H2O ---> H2CO3 Carbonic Acid. Yes Bicarbonate is formed as well (as a result of Carbonic Acid formation H2CO3 + H2O ---> HCO3- + H3O+ ), I would need to find the equilibrium constants for each reactions to determine the dominant product. I suspect its Carbonic Acid because papers have been published and I'm both sure that the authors have thought (and researched) it and also that if they were wrong it would take one chemist to destroy all of their work, and that has not happened.
CO2 levels are rising and yes CO2 is needed, plants take the carbon to form sugars and expell O2 in return. But a change in the global level of CO2 will favour some plants over others. I'm not saying increased CO2 will destroy plants, I'm saying in ecosystems some plants will have a new advantage they didn't have before, because they can use the increased CO2 to greater advantage, thus change will occur.
Polar ice caps melting. http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ Compare the 1979-2000 average with data for the 2000's. Here is a fun site to play with: http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/test/print.sh Yes these are relatively short term studies (in the life of earth) but they do show the ice caps are less now than what they were. The cause? I don't 100% know. But less ice over time means change.
The world is not static, it changes, and some of the changes we are seeing will potentially have huge effects. Increased risk of forest fires. Less workable land. Our increasing population and increasing consumption and an economic system that is built on unsustainable growth. If people want to say climate change is bogus then ok, but don't let that be an excuse to continue as we always have.
Funny, I thought environmentalists were to blame for the increased forest fires, at least in my state. There are significant prohibitions on brush clearing in my state, which means a great deal of dry brush builds up every summer, and every summer a fire or two starts.
And would you prefer "sustainable growth"? Growth is growth, and sooner or later you will hit the limits. Our only real option is to expand into space. A zero-growth policy would only work if every single nation on Earth enforces it, and I seriously doubt that will happen. If the West adopts such a policy, do you think the Middle East and Asia will go along with it? No, they would keep on expanding and eventually overrun the West. What will happen to democracy in that situation?
OK...so your article that is about antarctic ice mass growing sources a scientist that believes that ice mass in the antarctic is shrinking?....does that make sense to anyone? There is also a ton of data out there that is showing the antarctic ice mass is shrinking such as the GRACE data.
So you can't argue that ice mass is growing when there is data that also shows the opposite to be true. It is your same argument for whether or not global warming exists or not. Since it is not "settled science", then the debate must go on as you say, correct? Well now I am using that argument against you. Since the debate as to whether or not antarctic ice mass is growing or shrinking isn't settled, then how can you claim that it is settled and ice mass is growing?
You could argue whether or not the trends mean anything or whether or not it is natural, yada yada. But, with a lot of data out there showing that ice mass is shrinking over the last decade, you can hardly claim that the opposite is fact.
Increased forest fires due to increased temperatures. Here in Aus we have had some bad fires and fire authorities recently published maps showing how increasing temperatures like we have seen will result in more areas at risk of forest fires (bush fires as we here would say) and existing areas at greater risk.
I don't have the answers to humanities problems, that doesn't stop me from seeing the problems. We can't sustain our growth and with China and India, the worlds two most populous countries, becoming more like wester society in terms of consumption this will only become more apparent. And yes, given the dog eat dog world we currently live in slowing down only leads to our competitors advantage and our loss.
Its easy to dream.....
I would hesitate to use Wikipedia as a source on anything related to the AGW debate.
It is a matter of volume. When you think of the minute traces of CO2 in comparison to the volumes of Sea water, then it becomes a miniscule change, unless Co2 became a major atmosphere element (which no one is predicting).
First, the icecaps taken as a group is not a good way to look at them as one is over land, and one is over water. So there are major differences there. Indeed, the Artic cap, while gore claimed would disappear, has actually rebuilt itself from the low of 2007. The cause of the summer melt that year was due to prevailing trade winds, not global warming. And again, due to history, we know 2 things about the polar ice cap. One is that at one time it was much bigger (and hence where both the Chesapeake bay came from and how humans got to the Americas), and we know it was much smaller (how the Vikings managed to colonize Greenland and north america). And neither situation could have been caused by AGW.
In antartica (the worrisome one for those thinking we are going to get flooded out) has been "breathing" as well. With minor changes in the past 1000 years, but in the grand scheme of things, relatively stable. We also know this has not always been the case as it has grown and shrunk in human history as well. All this goes to show is as you say, the earth is not static. I do not think anyone is denying that things change. And it well could be due to AGW. What the skeptics want to see is some good science (not bad science that we have been given along with the hysteria of Al Gore and Rajendri Pachauri) that tests the hypothesis sucessfully. So far that has not happened, and indeed is going to take some time to happen, not because of the "skeptics", but because of incompetance and malfeasance of some of the Climatologists in destroying the data.
The data will now have to be collected again, and shared with others in the field (as it should be) so that the testing can begin. Right now, we have a phony hockey stick, one tree on the Yamal penisula (that is like deciding an election based on one voter), bad station siting with manipulation of data that has no rhyme or reason, and a conspiracy (not of thousands, but of a few) to eliminate known historical facts from the lexicon.
It is not a question of AGW or no AGW, but simply of good and bad science. And right now, most people only know about the bad science.
What Dr Guy said.
Ever hear of GIGO? how about "do you know what the meaning of the word is is?". Ok,so how about a few more for you.
First we have a more recent article demonstrating that once again, the scare mongers are wrong, and the ice cap is not melting.
Then we have a Kiwi (who is more knowledgable since he lives on an island) Indicating that one major method of checking the icecaps, sea level, is not rising alarmingly (that would be necessary if the icecaps were melting). Or how about this Oz Fellow that shows the same thing?
maybe the whole world is wrong just so you can be right? need more? Did you actually RTFM? Hardly.
Actually, there is no data showing the opposite is true with any trend. As I have clearly linked to the appropriate experts in the field. What is true is that some would like you to believe the hysteria for their own financial gain.
This I love most of all! When you cant beat them with the facts, create an easily defeatable strawman and then destroy it! Clearly it is you that seems to have the problem. I said the icecaps are not disappearing, not that there is no seasonal change. And clearly (for any with open minds) AGW is not settled science yet, nor is there a causality established between AGW and what the Polar icecaps are doing. What we DO KNOW about the icecaps is they are not static. And what HAS BEEN shown over the past FEW years (so we do not even have to go back to pre-recorded history) is they have changed.
I kind of pity you. For you to be right, you have to show one thing and ONLY one thing - shrinking ice caps (not even Phil Jones or Michael Mann is that ambitious). But since that ONE thing is not occuring, you are being shown wrong. That you are wrong does not even negate the hypothesis of AGW (except to charlatans like Al Gore and Rajendri Pachauiri). But it does show you wrong.
Yea, that data did kind of trip you up did it not? Sorry for bursting your generalization and assumptions. The data just aint there as you claim and I have shown.
Haha, I love it. I go and use the same argument that you and others have been using and you in turn say that it is a crap argument. Brilliant.
Gee, that sounds really familiar.
You then go and link to articles that do nothing to prove that the antarctic isn't melting. Two of the articles talk about sea level rise trends (or lack there of). This does nothing to prove that the ice isn't melting as sea-based ice will not cause any sort of sea level rise (as has been said many times throughout this thread). So showing that there hasn't been much sea level rise after ice shelves have melted in the antarctic proves nothing. The other one is regarding the eastern shelves that have not receded and are considered stable. You've linked to a lot of articles about that same subject, to "prove" that the entire continent of Antarctica is stable. Some shelves are stable, yes. That doesn't account for the entire continent as a whole. What you haven't talked about is the GRACE data which can measure the continent as a whole and has shown that the continent has been losing ice (taking into account the stability of the Fimbul shelf). Further more, much of the stablization of the eastern shelves is in part due to localized climate stability in the region, partly which has to due with the weakened ozone layer above Australia and that region. More energy is being let back out into space which results in a weaker warming effect in that region.
In fact, even in one of the very articles that you linked to says the following in it:
The SEAFRAME network, however, also plays a critical role in contributing to a regional and international early warning capability for climate change. For example, there is a lag from when the melting of the Greenland and Antarctic ice expanses starts to have a significant impact on global sea levels, and the SEAFRAME network will enable us to detect the early stages and monitor the ongoing trends of those impacts on sea level change in the South Pacific region. We may be detecting those early stages now, but they may not yet be discernable from the prevailing short-term trends.
So they even state that their study does not do anything currently to prove or disprove the effects of ice melt and that due to the lag their findings don't do anything to explain what the current ice situation is like at the southern ice cap. If ice continues to melt, and in turn land-based ice starts to melt, then their study will shed some light as to how sea level rise will be as a result. But, you take irrelevant studies and try to link them to theories that have nothing to do with those studies. They didn't make those absurd connections...you did!
Finally, scientists have also been using seismographs to understand the movement of ice and have found that a lot of land based ice has been shifting recently. Think of it like a bookshelf with bookends on each side. Western Antarctica being one end and Eastern Antarctica being the other. Just because one side is stable and the other isn't, doesn't mean that if you remove one side, then the books will still be stable. That just isn't true. They're showing a lot of instability and even if one side is stable and on the other side all the ice shelves are collapsing, that will still lead to a lot of land-based ice that could be at risk.
Why is it that you've ignored the GRACE data? In fact, the GRACE data is probably our most accurate look into the shifting ice mass in the antarctic.
Important points:-Sea level rise does nothing to summarize the current ice melt situation in Antarctica and won't for quite some time.
-Just because the eastern shelves are stable does not mean that the continent as a whole is.
Who is making the connection between ice caps and AGW? Not me. Care to quote me where I established any sort of connection?
You chimed in with a post claiming that the ice caps were growing rather than shrinking. I then responded claiming the opposite. No where did I make any sort of connection between Antarctic ice loss and AGW. Sounds to me that the one here taking many things out of context is you, not me.
...wow. Just because you have not read the data yourself, does not mean that it isn't there. I've mentioned the data available, you just haven't looking into it. Yes, you have linked to experts. Experts that talked about sea level rise and made no conclusions about the status of Antarctic ice. You were the one who made those conclusions, not the scientists. You say you like good science and not bad science and yet you just committed poor science.
Wikipedia for the reaction. To show that while you say increased CO2 will actually form bicarbonate and thus cause the alkalinity of the ocean to increase, in actual fact that may not occur because the preceding compound, carbonic acid, maybe the dominant compound.
Take a look at http://pangea.stanford.edu/research/Oceans/GES205/Caldeira_Science_Anthropogenic%20Carbon%20and%20ocean%20pH.pdf
Quick summery, increased CO2 in atmosphere does decrease ocean pH. Published in Nature, 425 (6956): 365–365.
I decided to find a paper on CO2 effects on oceans, took the easy route and checked the wikipedia Ocean Acidification page, went down to the references and there it was. I wouldn't trust wikipedia 100% either, thats why I look at their references. Yes its only one paper, but it does at least give an indication of the potential size of the problem.
I think its a bloody big bet to be making for our children, that everything is ok with the amount of CO2 we put in the environment because it is having no real effect. I don't think anyone here is actually going to change anyones mind, for every pro article there is a negative article, for every pro article there is the point that climate data not supporting climate change has been ignored and for every negative article there are adgenda's (eg big oil donation to climate skeptic groups).
I can't say I've been swayed from my opinion, that we don't really know what we are doing and that we should take the safe option and slow down to find out.
It's a bloody big bet to spend trillions to try to stop it too.
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