So, the truth has finially come out...
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/science/earth/21climate.html
Man created global warming has been politicized to the point that scientists have been rigging the results of tests to get the desired result. This is not science, and all those "scientists" should lose their grants, teaching licenses, and be barred from ever touching a beaker
Seriously, has science died? What has the world come to that the nations of the world were getting close to passing greatly limiting, taxing and controling treaties all based on false information? What should be done with the whole "green" agenda that has now been proven to be based on lies?
Thoughts?
--- Over 1000 replies makes this a very hot topic ---
Therefore I will continue to update with the unraveling of the IPCC and politicized science. (new articles will be placed first)
Please keep the topics a little more on point from here on out, thanks.
- Glacer calculation show to be false, and scientist refuses to apologize...
- More errors in report?
- Opinion paper - Rigging climate 'consensus'
Agreed, but my comment was in regards to AGW. We were discussing the morals of our excess emissions and so I was strictly referring to as it pertained to AGW. No doubt nature has put tons of CO2 into the atmosphere via volcanic activity. There has also been huge climate swings due to such activity as well.
I wasn't the one trying to make a point. You were when you said the following:
I was discussing LIFE on the planet and you bring in facts about how the planet has been around for 4.5 billion years. That does little to argument my point about how life on the planet is still very fragile. The planet will survive. Life on the planet will not. Why do you think it is so hard for astronomers to find planets that are capable of sustaining life. Because the conditions that must be set for life to be sustained are actually very fragile.
The reason why those methods were discredited was because the current (actual) recordings of CO2 levels didn't match what the localized concentration chemical methods that he explained were used. That's why they were discredited. If newer more accurate methods can discredit older historic data gathering techniques, then that is when they become obsolete. I'm not the one that didn't do the research on this one.
I wonder why he didn't take his data collection past the 1960's?...because that is when we starting gathering actual atmospheric CO2 volume measurements using weather balloons and that data would completely negate his methods and show how inaccurate they really are. But once again, it is another claim to conspiracy from skeptics that AGW activists are only using methods that "support the global warming theory." ...right
...ugh, but for humans it kind of is. lol. Unless you plan on developing gills and fins.
I see you are very passionate about the issue, and also very ill informed.
I don't understand your argument here. Are you saying that humans can't or can adapt? Either way it doesn't explain very well your point. I said that humans can for the most part adapt to climate variations. What's wrong with that statement?
I am passionate, but not ill informed, thank you.
It's not all that different from a simple spelling mistake of which there are thousands that I take pains to aviod avoid pointing out in other people's replies, but then that's just me.
Well, here's to 150 years of good health.
Being an engineer, you can be forgiven.
You know what they do with engineers when they turn forty?
They, whoever they are, make engineers have a shred of respect for comma usage rules.
This is not necessarily a good thing. When there is too much nutrients in a lake or pond, algae grows alot and in your words "prospers". However, the algae blocks sunlight so water plants die. As they rot, oxygen is stripped from the water and fish die. The ecosystem is then pretty much dead even though the algae prospered.
Looking at the livelihood of a single species is insufficient. To get a proper perspective, you must take into account the entire ecosystem.
Furthermore, skeptics are not addressing the issue at hand because they are too busy accusing the greenies of being fanatics with flawed science. I havn't heard of the skeptics encouraging people to use hybrid cars or encouraging awarness of environmental damage. All they do is accuse the greenies of fanatacism. They may be right, but it doesn't get us anywhere.
It is silly to assume that all this extra CO2 will not affect the environment. Yes CO2 levels have been higher in the past, but that was in the past! The ecosystems were different back then, there were different plants and animals so it is a flawed argument to say that the effects won't be damaging in the present. Lack of evidence does not mean lack od risk.
That is simply untrue. Take Brad as an example; he's a skeptic as far as AGW, but is building (has built?) a new house designed to be energy efficient. I'm much the same way, on a far humbler scale.
Frankly, if you are an AGW believer and commute more than 10 miles to work every day, you should be publicly tarred and feathered. My favorite comparison to use for this situation is one of the professors I work with; he drives a Prius and commutes 40+ miles one way. I drive a 91 Buick and commute >3 miles one way. Guess which one of us uses less gas. The problem is that my solution is a lifestyle choice (I choose to live near work, rather than farther out where I could afford a bigger place) rather than simply a product choice. Many people are willing to make product choices, not so much so with the lifestyle choices we actually *should* be making if we really want to make a difference in terms of energy use.
In theory I could ride the city bus to work, since there's a stop a stone's throw away from both my apartment and work. I'm not willing to spend an hour or more (each way!) to make a three mile commute. Due to the way the buses are scheduled, I could walk to work almost as fast as I could get there with the bus. More energy efficient (and cheaper, since I ride free with my university ID) but it's not a lifestyle choice I'm willing to make.
There are plenty of things we can do for the environment that do not depend on being an AGW believer. I recycle; I conserve gas, I adjust my thermostats. Not to reduce my "carbon footprint" but because resources are not unlimited and I'm a cheap bastard. Reducing any emissions I might be responsible for is simply a coincidental byproduct of otherwise sound economic decisions.
This is why Mumble and I pretty much agree on what to do about global warming, even though we completely disagree on how much there is and whether we're responsible for it. Basically, we shouldn't do anything about it that can't be justified for other reasons, such as energy independance, resource concervation, and avoiding *actual* pollution (whether CO2 is or not, SO2, NOx, and other combustion byproducts are definitely bad).
Notice how he blithely puts this out with never a thought towards the problem he's facing.
Volcano goes off, world cools. So much for the warming effect from all those green house gases they put out, the particulate bombs the shit out of the temperature. Brilliant job not noting the complete lack of a warming effect from Vocanic eruptions.
While you're jizzing yourself over your knowledge of a scant 400 thousand years of CO2 history, please notice that 80% of that period has been spent covered in ice, to Kansas.
It's possible there will be a 9.8 earthquake in Los Angeles. We should immediately raze every building in the state and establish building codes that can survive such an event!
Shit happens, altering your life in any significant way for something with no evidence it will ever happen is really stupid. This isn't like buying a gun in case you get mugged, people actually get mugged, it's a statistical possibility based on documented observations, crime statistics. Something like cap and trade is jumping out the window from a perfectly good sky scraper just in case there's an earthquake later. You wouldn't kill yourself just to avoid the possibility of dying, so why cause economic distress just to avoid the possibility of it?
We know it's good for plants, we know it's bad for people around six thousand ppm, we'll never hit a thousand. We have a largely discredited theory based purely on conjecture with not one single instance of observable cause and effect that says we might get a few meters up in sea level in return for doubling the food output of the remaining land. There is zero evidence it's bad for the planet, zero evidence it's bad for humanity. If the unproven and questionable theory with manufactured evidence proves to be true despite the worst intentions of it's proponents, humanity still has a net gain. Certain real estate loses value, a few countries disappear, but the world will be more productive as a whole by far.
Well, at least they're admitting that they screwed up.
<snip>
Facing global outcry, Rajendra Pachauri backed down and apologised today for a disputed IPCC claim that there was a very high chance the Himalayan glaciers would melt away by 2035.
The assertion, now discredited, was included in the most recent IPCC report assessing climate change science, published in 2007. Those reports are widely credited with convincing the world that human activity was causing global warming.
But Pachauri admitted in an IPCC statement (pdf) that in this case "the clear and well-established standards of evidence required by the IPCC procedures were not applied properly", and "poorly substantiated estimates" of the speed of glacier melting had made it into print.
</snip>
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jan/20/himalayan-glaciers-melt-claims-false-ipcc
Interesting. I had never heard of anything like that before. However, he is in a small minority I'm sure. What I said still holds true for most of the politicians who deny AGW. It also holds true for many of the politicians who do believe in AGW as far as I know.
That is because volcanoes dont pump out pure CO2. Volcanoes also release sulfur dioxide which reacts with water to produce sulfuric acid. This leads to a colling affect due to the reflective nature of sulfuric acid droplets.
Do a little research before making connections that are completely untrue.
Yes, Volcanoes put lots of CO2 in the air and yes, it has been shown that there is a short period of cooling immediately following some of the dramatic prehistoric volcano eruptions. But, this is because of the vast amounts of ash and sulphate aerosols that are spewed into the atmosphere that block and reflect sunlight away from the troposphere. If you did your research, you'd find that after this period of cooling there were long periods of warming. The ash and sulphate aerosols settle, but the CO2 stays in the atmosphere. In fact, there is evidence that shows that the volcanic eruptions that split Greenland and Europe to create the Atlantic ocean was followed by a 222,000 year long warming period.
And what is your point about all the ice ages? I see no point being made there. The only point I see is a big desire to prove how immature you can really be.
If anything that shows you how open and stringent their procedures are and willingness to make corrections. Go to their IPCC.ch website and they have all their full reports to read and a pretty easy Table of Contents format that is easy to read. I recommend doing so to avoid making harsh conclusions about a single paragraph error like this one.
In fact, I think the last line in that article sums it up pretty well: "We should be cautious about making sweepingstatements about the IPCC based on a single error."
Also, in the official IPCC retraction statement, they first reissued a new paragraph statement to replace the one they initially reported and it is as follows:
“Climate change is expected to exacerbate current stresses on water resources from population growth and economic and land-use change, including urbanisation. On a regional scale, mountain snow pack, glaciers and small icecaps play a crucial role in freshwater availability. Widespread mass losses from glaciers and reductions in snow cover over recent decades are projected to accelerate throughout the 21st century, reducing water availability, hydropower potential, and changing seasonality of flows in regions supplied by meltwater from major mountain ranges (e.g. Hindu-Kush, Himalaya, Andes), where more than one-sixth of the world population currently lives.”
Clonmac:
Clearly man's adaption is not difficult. We are talking about a mid-evel society that for the most part conquerored the north atlantic, and prospored. They adadpted very well. Just as the Innuits did and the arabs did (both in very inhospitable areas).
can a man accustomed to easy luxury adapt? That is a different question and perhaps what you were getting at. but MAN (generic species term) can easily adapt and has shown that capacity many times in the past.
And by ill informed, I was simply pointing out 2 major errors you stated in your post. clearly CO2 (you did not specify Anthroprogenic) has been higher in the past, and clearly nature dwarfs man's ability to pump Co2 into the atmosphere (when it has a mind to). AGW seems to hold that both are false given its basic premise, and most who argue that AGW is "settled science" are woefully ignorant of the true facts.
Skeptics are not allowed to. As soon as a proponent of AGW hears a negative word about their religion, they immediately shoot the messenger and label them a "denier". A slur that signifies nothing. if you had read half the literature from the skeptic side, you would not only find many advocating polution reduction (and CO2 is not a pollutant, but a necessary part of the eco system). Indeed, Greenpeace has never been in favor of pollution, but one of its founders is clearly a skeptic. A contradition that is ignored with the specious labeling of all skeptics as deniers.
Yes it will affect the ecology. But then that does not appear to be a tenet of the AGW creed. Like your Algae analogy, it will promote growth in areas that may not always be beneficial. But it will promote plant growth (as has been demonstrated in the past). And given that CO2 has been higher in the past, and global warming has not gone on a "runaway" self feeding catastrophy, it begs the question why would it do it now? So beyond the question of whether AGW is even legitimate or not, there is the question of "if it is true, then what?" And the answer from the body AGW religious is always "doom and gloom". In order to arrive at that end conclusion, they must ignore all facts that show it to be an hysterical knee jerk alarmism that has no basis in observed history.
And/or somehow affiliated to the oil industry, not to forget... *rollseyes*
Yeah, but only when the rationalists leave them no other choice...
As you failed to do in your example, JuleTron. Were it not for stromatolites, we wouldn't be having this conversation.
Several pages ago you were adamant about claiming that I was generalizing, and now you go and say that proponents of AGW immediately label people as deniers.Your paragraphs are riddled with other generalizations as well when it comes to always "doom and gloom".
I am a proponent of AGW, yet I have never once denied anyone the right to their own beliefs. And as such, I have not labeled them as "deniers" because of those beliefs. Therefore your statement is not true and a clear generalization. On the opposite side of the spectrum, there have been several instances in this very thread with opponents of global warming throwing out names and trying to label those individuals as idiots.
...Sorry, I had to point that out.
There will always be the fanatic type on both ends of the spectrum. The key is to ignore the people who can't be realistic and pay great attention to the people who can. Do this regardless of what opinions they hold and you can have a very productive debate as well as a greater learning experience on both ends.
2 errors, they were? As I mentioned, my discussion was in relation to AGW (as it was a direct reply to a conversation about AGW) and thus comparisons to other natural exhaustions of CO2 such as volcanoes were out of the scope of the debate in that post. Secondly, your rebuttal with a source from a chemist who's techniques have been proven to be inaccurate and you go and call me the ill-informed one?
I don't mind when someone makes rebuttals, but don't call someone ill-informed when that is not true. We all have our sources. Just because you list a completely lame source for CO2 levels, doesn't mean I go and call you ill-informed. I instead point out the reasoning behind something being untrue and let the reasoning prove itself.
And can you elaborate on this statement?
This is not actually accurate. While some areas will be stressed, others will benefit greatly. To the point that:
As a result, the net global population at risk of water stress might actually be reduced. And, that is precisely what Table 9 from Arnell (2004) shows.
I should have qualified that to say "some of the" as clearly you have not done that. My apologies.
These 2 statements are wrong:
Plus those sentences were fine without any commas, if anything I use too many commas and not enough periods. At least that's what my school teacher wife tells me.
A large part of it seems to be large groups picking up on dubious sources and exaggerating the information thats available eg. the belief that all glaciers in the himalayas would be melted by 2035 according to the IPCC. This information was taken from the WWF and them from an artivle in New Scientist and New Scientist from a virtually unknown indian scientist who himself has stated that this is a false hypothesis from about 20 years ago and he has withdrawn this statement.
Its not maliciousness, its just laziness.
See this is what bothers me the most! This is the exact definition of a straw man argument. That article skews everything that Arnell was saying to make it seem like the IPCC is not reporting everything. That is not true. In fact, Arnell is not really in contention with what the IPCC claims as the article tries to make is seem like. If you actually cared to read Arnell's report, you'd see that, rather than taking word for it from the article on wattsupwiththat.com. And you wonder why that website gets a bad rap for skewing information.
Here is the truth. This is directly from Arnell's report:
This is what the wattsupwiththat.com skews the truth with:
The wattsupwiththat.com website claims that millions of more people will be affected by increases of water as opposed to the number of people that will face decreased water supply. This is true, but is isn't the FULL truth.
The full truth is that the people who will face increased water due to global warming are people who AREN'T IN NEED OF EXTRA WATER TO BEGIN WITH. The people who will face water shortages in the future are regions that are already in dire need of water!!!
If you look at the map (which is from Arnell's report), you will see that most of the regions to face water shortages (the midwest in the USA, Northern Africa, Europe, South Africa, etc) are places that are in dire need of water currently. The places that are predicted to have increased water due to global warming are places that are in no short supply of water at all (Canada, Russia, India, etc). So while the population of those places (China and India are most of the world right there) is more than the people effected by water shortage, that does not mean that global warming will not harm more people than it will help like the article on wattsupwiththat.com claims! Wattsupwiththat.com claims there is a net positive impact for water with Global warming and as you see, there is clearly not. You can't just look at what per capita gains are. You have to look at WHERE that capita is located and what their water situation currently is before and after the effects of global warming.
That is called skewing the truth in a big way.
You see (and I did read the Arnell report) that is exactly what Watt is talking about. The statement you made was based on a comment lifted out of context, and the truth is that the "scientists" that are predicting what the hydrology is going to be 5, 10, 20 years from now, cannot even predict what it is going to be 1 week from now. The main point that Watt was making (and you may have missed this) is that as the world warms, we will get more, not less precipitation, and no one knows where it will be more or less. The Sahara desert was not always a desert, nor was the Vancouver rain forest always a rain forest.
So the premise, and the point I was contesting you on, that AGW is going to cause massive world wide droughts (implied although not stated) is false. And I would also point out that Watt is not contending that the whole world is going to be milk and honey, only that the hysteria being generated by the AGW crowd is at best misleading and at worse just another example of scare mongering.
That is the lesson to take away from this. Not if it is going to rain in Somalia or not.
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