So, the truth has finially come out...
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/science/earth/21climate.html
Man created global warming has been politicized to the point that scientists have been rigging the results of tests to get the desired result. This is not science, and all those "scientists" should lose their grants, teaching licenses, and be barred from ever touching a beaker
Seriously, has science died? What has the world come to that the nations of the world were getting close to passing greatly limiting, taxing and controling treaties all based on false information? What should be done with the whole "green" agenda that has now been proven to be based on lies?
Thoughts?
--- Over 1000 replies makes this a very hot topic ---
Therefore I will continue to update with the unraveling of the IPCC and politicized science. (new articles will be placed first)
Please keep the topics a little more on point from here on out, thanks.
- Glacer calculation show to be false, and scientist refuses to apologize...
- More errors in report?
- Opinion paper - Rigging climate 'consensus'
Heard the Iguana problem was being solved as well!
But then when the actual data is plotted (instead of the massaged data that Mann loves so well), we see why the iguanas and pythons are dropping:
As far as a "piece of paper" if this was physics there would be no argument. I personally give a great amount of credit to that "piece of paper" because it's not just one piece of paper it's at least 3, plus years of experience plus publication of significant work that's highly regarded by your peers.
If you want to take the tack that none of this has meaning then you should probably go to a witch doctor instead of a medical doctor when you get sick, or have your bridges built by interior decorators instead of civil engineers, or have the salvation army fight our wars for us.
This is not the Renaissance where everyone trys to encompass all knowledge. We have advanced way beyond such obvious giants like Leonardo by the technique of *specialization*. I'm an electrical engineer and I design high speed encrypted classified communication equipment and I doubt there's a single person in this thread that could do the same.
Daiwa is a medical doctor and regardless of crap that I have given him in the past about it I cannot do his job and do not pretend that I could.
By belittling the best climate scientists on the planet you are also belittling *your* personal area of expertise assuming that you in fact even have one to begin with. If you claim that you have a better understanding of a field that someone has spent their life in then you must also acknowledge that the same could be true of you and your field.
At least if someone has demonstrated some level of expertise in some other area of life then they do have at least some minimal credence that they could in fact have some reasonable knowledge outside of that area but when someone denigrates "a piece of paper" and has no descernable expertise or even education then forgive me if I consider it merely a case of sour grapes.
Hmm, I've posted that before but it vanished.
To make it short:
As an example of how seriously politicians in Germany take the "climate change" they want to force people to drive just 100 km/h to reduce CO2 emission. In the same moment they allow 4 more coal fueled power plants to be built of which ONE emits as much CO2 in a day as all cars in Germany combined when driving at 200 km/h 24/7 ...
Not to mention the hillarious fact that all the oh so afraid folks at the copenhagen meeting came in private jets, limos and all that. Great rolemodels...
Btw, ever wondered why a greenpeace co-founder and former leader (Patrick Moore) is amongst the sceptics?
Oh, and I'm taking bets as to when AGW activists are gonna start calling sceptics infidels... *rollseyes*
Or of at least one AGW activist's if nothing like this happens at all...
I am sad that nobody watched or commented about this. CO2 has been the single most important factor in the change of average temperature on the planet throughout its history.
Frog's assertion that the CO2 only affects the temperature a small amount is simply wrong. CO2 has little effect compared to what? The sun, perhaps, but luckily for us the Sun remains pretty constant.
I am a firm believer that mankind is generally good at heart. I believe that while there are some bad people in the world, the majority of people want to do good.
Why am I saying this? I say this because there are many many scientists from many groups that do ice core drillings. It is just one person from one group going to these age old ice shelfs and drilling cores for temperature readings. The readings that they are coming back with are all meeting with the same consensus are the readings remarkably accurate relative to the length of time period that they are looking at. In otherwords, they aren't looking to find what the temperature was on a particular day, they are looking to find the global temperature over a given year. In that context, the results are very accurate. The same could be said about consensus with the many other experiments and data that is collected from other sources.
So while there may be handfuls of scientists on both sides that may fudge information to backup their agenda, the majority of scientists are in agreement over the global warming data. Therefore because I feel the majority of mankind is good at heart (across all cultures), I feel that I should trust their judgement and listen to what the scientists say...NOT ignore them!
I'm wondering if anyone has ever thought about how much earth's atmosphere would warm up if we'd plaster all of Sahara with solar panels. Can you say Reflexion...?
As has been pointed out, all that will do is confirm rising sea levels (and indirectly, warming), not anthropogenicity. The brush with which you paint people 'skeptics' is very broad indeed.
Seriously? The reason why no one has given it thought is because it isn't exactly realistic. The number of solar panels you'd need before the reflection (<--correct spelling) would even factor into global warming would be huge vast square miles of solar panels that probably would be underutilized because we wouldn't be able to use up all the power that they'd generate. A realistic sized solar power plant wouldn't come close to being the giant mirror that your mind has imagined. Secondly, there is newer technology of solar panels that are much more effective that aren't reflective. Also, you do realize that solar panels are made to absorb solar rays and turn that energy into electricity right? This means there are less rays that are reflected back. Just because it looks reflective, doesn't mean that it actually is reflecting back rays that will heat up the atmosphere. Third, if we were to build such a large solar plant and were able to utilize all of the power it were to generate without wasting any of it, the benefits of using such a clean energy source (less reliance on other dirty sources) would far outweight the effects of its reflection that it would cause. Finally, the sahara is already a giant reflective panel that already reflects a lot of the solar rays back into the atmosphere.
Science dead...are you crazy....look around you at the environment...this guy must be a republican. Only they can see no evil speak no evil.... and since most republican boast about there knowledge of God here is a quote from the Apocalypse( or revelations about our times)....
"He(Christ)....should destroy them which destroy the Earth." Revelation 11:18
The Earth is God's and we should care for it not destroy it with pollution and denials of its effects on the Earth and ourselves.
Interesting revelation on Climate Gate this morning. The timeline is coming out, as well as the sources. But what is most intriguing is the implied threat from Gavin Schmidt, head of the NASA climate unit - of course there is no collusion between CRU, The MET and NASA! {wink, wink}:
Date: Thu, 19 Nov 2009 15:48:21 -0500From: Gavin SchmidtTo: lucia liljegrenSubject: a word to the wise Lucia, As I am certain you are aware, hacking into private emails is very illegal. If legitimate, your scoop was therefore almost certainly obtained illegally (since how would you get 1000 emails otherwise). I don’t see any link on Jeff-id’s site, and so I’m not sure where mosher got this from, but you and he might end up being questioned as part of any investigation that might end up happening. I don’t think that bloggers are shielded under any press shield laws and so, if I were you, I would not post any content, nor allow anyone else to do so. Just my twopenny’s worth Gavin
Date: Thu, 19 Nov 2009 15:48:21 -0500From: Gavin SchmidtTo: lucia liljegrenSubject: a word to the wise
Lucia, As I am certain you are aware, hacking into private emails is very illegal. If legitimate, your scoop was therefore almost certainly obtained illegally (since how would you get 1000 emails otherwise). I don’t see any link on Jeff-id’s site, and so I’m not sure where mosher got this from, but you and he might end up being questioned as part of any investigation that might end up happening. I don’t think that bloggers are shielded under any press shield laws and so, if I were you, I would not post any content, nor allow anyone else to do so. Just my twopenny’s worth
Gavin
Anyone who knows the history of global warming and NASA knows that NASA has had its fair share of cover ups with trying to hide global warming evidence in the past. So the pot can stop calling the kettle black. Like was said, both sides have had their times of coverups and data manipulation to support their cause. These events do nothing to change the fact that there is overwhelming evidence coming from other sources that support climate change.
Like I said:
Why, thanks! It was too early for me to remember the correct spelling. :blushes:
And the whole thing was just something that sprang to my mind. Not anything I really considered much...
One step in the right direction for europe is that they're going to hardwire various wind parks in all of northern europe.
clonmac - I do not think the issue of the current temperature is in debate. It is the trend that is in debate. Even your ice cores are open to debate as appparently one side has fudged them as well. Why else try to eliminate the MWP? The raw data shows a different story.
Contrary to what you might think, I was not disputing any scientific data at all. I was merely stating how eliminating a whole field of scientific study based on one organizations leaked emails is absurd when both sides have been involved in getting their hands dirty, like I stated. That is a known fact. Like I said, it is the pot calling the kettle black.
Further more, while there are scientists that dispute the existance of the MWP, most of them do agree that there was one. That was never really up for debate and why you call me out on something like that isn't understandable to me. I agree that there was a MWP as many global warming proponents do. However, what is important is how significant it really is to the matter and that is what is questionable.Even the very study you've stated merely claims its existance and doesn't go into how significant it is when talking about the CWP. Most of the studies involved with that article are only qualitative and the ones that are quantitative just give numbers. Science is far more than just numbers. They don't go into the relationship of things. The article on co2science.org is clearly a distorted picture aimed and "debunking" global warming theories without actually going into global warming theory itself. Just look at some of the actual scientific summaries of the studies:
"both (MWP) summer maximum and mean annual temperatures ... were found to be higher than those of the 20th century," whereas winter temperatures at that time were lower. Quantitatively, summer temperatures at AD 985 were 2 to 6°C warmer than those of the period 1936-1992, while mean annual temperatures were 0.2°C higher and mean winter temperatures 1.8°C lower."
...essentially they are saying the ONE year during the medieval period had a much warmer summer than an average summer temperature during several modern era decades. They even said that the winters during the MWP period were COLDER than the current winters. One overly warm summer does not signify or mean that the current warming trend is NOT due to human CO2 emissions. This has been explained numerous times in this thread.
Also, if you'd look at some of the graphs produced by those very same studies, you'd find that the "warming rate" of the CWP is much more drastic than the warming and cooling rates of the MWP and that the temperature increase from the turn of the 1900's is very sharp which correlates directly with the industrial revolution.
Finally I will say this to people who are either on the fence/skeptical about global warming or are just looking and waiting for proof of its existance.
Sometimes it takes putting things into a different perspective for someone to realize something. Essentially it boils down to the fact that skeptics are looking for absolute PROOF that the world is really on the brink of a climate crisis. They are looking for complete 100% concrete evidence that the world is really facing global warming challenges. Do you really need to be slapped in the face with that kind of evidence before you allow certain changes to be made? Clearly that is what it takes sometimes. But, they want this type of proof before what? Before we start having to make changes to the way we live no matter how small they are (god forbid)? Are we not morally obligated to take care of the planet we live on regardless of evidence of it being harmed?
Anyone who has seen it first hand knows how much humans can effect the planet. Have you ever tried to breathe in the air in China and realized how polluted it is there? Have you ever seen how much land a million acres of cut down forest trees really is? Have you see the changes to the landscape that diverted rivers can cause? If you have seen some of these things, then it isn't hard to imagine how easy it is for humans to be able to change a layer of the atmosphere that in relativity is extremely thin.
Someone once had (I forget who) an interesting thought that I feel sums up the situation of global warming and the people who are against any type of climate change policy.
If a nucleur power plant has a 5% chance of meltdown, everyone is scrambling to shut the plant down to avoid a distaster. But, if the world has a 50% chance of a climate crisis, then people are idly standing by doing nothing.
So what if there isn't 100% concrete evidence of manmade global warming. I certainly believe there is enough evidence, however, that would warrant a 50% chance prediction of a climate crisis. In that case I feel the above comment is reasonable.
Isn't it better to be precautionary? We don't need to put guns to people's heads or put businesses into red to meet standards. We can do little bits here and there across the whole spectrum of environmentally friendly alternatives that will be good for the planet. Like I said earlier, CAFE standards were unchanged for over 30 years. They needed to be changed and probably would've helped the american auto industry in the long run. But we were resistant to change. Had we increased the standards a little bit 20 years ago, it would've hurt a lot less than having to increase them a lot only one time further down the road. Little changes done incrementally over time equal big changes in the long run. So why not start them now in the event that these changes are needed in the future? They don't need to be big.
Hello everrrybody!
Depends on the proposed changes. Because right now unfortunately AGW=carbon cap, yes, we do.
Maybe if the people who are in charge cared actually about AGW a not their personal benefit. But they do not, otherwise they will not be so hasty with capping the carbon emissions, which will do more harm to humanity than any temperature rise over next century. Additionaly for people here in the West it is easy to say: " so what, i would be rather safe than sorry, it is about greener world for children after all." But try to explain this to some poor people in the third world country...If you needed money to feed your children, what will you care more about? The possibility of slightly higher temp century later or your children?
Try not to get tunnel visioned into generalizations. To claim that all global warming proponents want to cap carbon emissions is just plain wrong. Actually very few want that and at the very least want a cap&trade system. But, there are a ton of solutions that have been proposed and many global warming advocates are against cap&trade even. The point is that solutions need to be looked at and debated, NOT debate over whether or not global warming is a threat...because it is.
Your second paragraph is very alarming and backwards. To say that people in charge care more about their personal benefit than of AGW is very wrong. Sure there are people out to earn a penny in the process, but I think the coin should be flipped on that statment. I think the people on the other side of the court care more about their money pockets than do AGW activists. Too many are paid by oil companies and receive contributions from them just like tobacco lobbyists received money from the tobacco companies. There is more vested money involved with keeping oil companies in charge than there is vested interest in curbing emissions.Also, as far as the third-world country argument goes, it is actually the third-world countries that need to be most alarmed by AGW. Those are the countries that are affected most by AGW. Water is becoming the most scarce resource in those regions and AGW is the reason for that. Furthermore, 3rd world countries are contributing the least to AGW and therefore it is developed nations that need to make changes for the good of these underdeveloped nations. I think explaining this to the person who can't find water to drink is much easier than you think. Explaining it to the person who can just go to the kitchen sink for water is another matter completely.
I'm sorry, but your statements just seem a little misguided to me and quick to judge without looking at the big picture.
I do not recall "calling you out" on MWP. I was merely pointing out that there is debate on the trend. That I responded to you was for the opening line of agreeing that temperatures in the last 30 years have trended up. Then pointing out that these "honest" men differe greatly on how long and how much the trend is. if indeed the MWP is real, then what we are going through now is nothing in comparison since CO2 was not a factor 800-1000 years ago. Something else was the catalyst, and so far, no one seems to be trying to decipher the catalyst from then, and if it is still in play today. The answer would go far in determing the causes of today.
Some of them indeed are, but they are the ones that tend to be "grafted" samples. (See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/20/mikes-nature-trick/). What they did there, was take one type of data - proxy data - for parts of the graph and then change the sample when it did not support their graph (they tacked on actual temperature readings for the up tick). Thus they again produced a misleading graph, where a graph of one index would not have shown an uptick of the magnitude they were seeking:
The green line represents the continuation of the proxy data, which is hardly impressive, or alarming.
You accuse Timmy of a gross generalization, and then make one yourself. The truth is both are wrong. A better qualifier would be "some", "many" or "most" as clearly examples of what you both generalized are abundantly available.
Egads! The forum fairy duplicated a post again!
How is what I said a generalization? I keep my original quote above that you quoted. I was merely stating that what Timmy said was wrong and a generalization. I never went into saying a generalization myself. Not only that, but you quouted out of context. IF I went and said something like "people in charge do NOT care about personal benefit", then that would be a generalization. But, I merely stated that claiming that they DO care is wrong and is a generalization. See the difference? Please take care and tread lightly the next time you call me out like that.
Below is a requote of what I wrote above with exact "ungeneralized" statements in bold for you.
Not once did I include an entire group into a descriptive statement and only made comparative statements between groups.
Who's looking for absolute proof?
I'm merely looking for it to move from being an untested hypothesis to one that can bear the scrutiny of a prediction.
As has been said repeatedly (but not on this page), CO2 is going to continue to skyrocket this century. There's no way that's not going to happen. A lot of this issue about AGW is purely academic because the question isn't really about stopping it but how can we adapt to it if CO2 really does affect global temperatures in a measurable way.
If the temperature rises to unprecedented modern levels for the next several years, more and more skeptics will come on board. However, if it doesn't, then that will make things tougher for the AGW advocates.
Right now, CO2 is at something like 383ppm. By 2020 it should be about 410ppm. There's your predictive scenario: If the temperature has a steady upward trend (not every year mind you but still reasonably consistent) then more and more skeptics will get peeled off.
Look at this chart:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/7e/Satellite_Temperatures.png
There's a line trending upward (thanks to cherry picking the start date). But if you look after 1998, it's pretty obvious that it's leveled off.
No one is asking for "absolute proof". I think a starting point might be "Hey, CO2 is going up at over 2 ppm every year, is the temperature on a steady upward trend? No? Why not?"
He was generalizing bad "they are all crooks". You were generalizing good "They are not". Both generalizations are false. Some are crooks, some are bad, some are honest in their beliefs. We can pick out individuals for scorn and ridicule based upon past practices and statements, but making a blanket statement about people you do not know (and in some cases do not even know who they are) is wrong as well.
We know some of the people in charge of the AGW movement are very interested in their own personal wealth and do not care about the rest of us (Al Gore, Pachauri, Jones, Mann to name a few). And there are some that are altruistic, who honestly feel a need to spread the alarm as they see it, but again not all of the leaders are that way.
Generalizations do not have to be bad to be wrong.
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