The much talked about Redistributor in Chief took place in 1981 when Reagan took the progressive tax structure on the wealthy from 70% down to 28%, the inevitable consequence of which simply brought into reality the adage the rich got richer and the poor got poorer. The additional bonus was the rise in numerous tax shelters to the point that true earnings were distorted. and to rub it in, investors looked to cheap foreign labor to enrich themselves further. Meanwhile in Washington union busting prevailed and living wages began to tank, roiling redistribution even more .
Currently, yes there are not too many countries running a flat tax, and yes it is mostly eastern europe and Russia.
That is today, however, and if you go back and study the IMF and world bank they've agressively pushed the flat tax to most of their client nations in the past. Not all of them adopted it, and many went the 'hybird' approach.
Chile did indeed adopt a flat tax under pinochet, and this was disastrous for the country!
"While the 1980s have been described as the "lost decade" in terms of economic development for the rest of Latin America, since global recession in the early 1980s Chile's economy under Pinochet has enjoyed a sustained strong expansion. His government implemented an economic model that had three main objectives: economic liberalization, privatization of state owned companies, and stabilization of inflation. However, these reforms came with high transitional cost and in the mid-1980s 45 percent of population was still living under poverty level. In 1985, the government started with a second round of privatization, it revised previously introduced tariff increases and gave a greater supervisory role for the Central Bank. By 1992 the unemployment had declined to below 5 percent and the growth of GDP averaged 6.2 percent a year. Pinochet's market-oriented economic policies were continued and strengthened after he stepped down."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pinochet#Economic_policy
Are you not tired of being right all the time?
Very good! However, if you knew anything about what I was talking about you would know that I was referring to Chile in 1973 (12 years prior to 1985), when Pinochet killed the democratically elected leader (Allende) and took power. You would know that before Pinochet made these free market changes the standard of living and quality of life for the average Chilean was much, much higher.
Yes, after a dozen years things started to get a little better but were still overall worse off than before, and most importantly, much of the economic progress and growth didn't 'trickle down' to raise everyone's standards of living. The GDP may have increased but since businesses were taxed minimally and had no legislation controlling how much of their profits had to remain in country, it succeeded in doing little more than further enriching an already rich crowd while the average joe mostly continue to live in squalor on a pay as you go system.
And, in order for Pinochet to pass much of these free market reforms?
He ended up committing crimes against humanity, imprisoning, torturing and killing anyone who went against his edicts, because his policies were so unpopular the only way to pass them was to keep people in fear for their lives.
This, I guarantee you, is not a made up lie.
again, going from wikipedia-
The worst of the military's violent purging from society of thousands of Chilean Leftists and suspected Leftists — by killing or forced disappearance — occurred in the first months after the U.S.-sponsored coup d’état. The military imprisoned 40,000 of their political enemies in the National Stadium of Chile; among the tortured and killed desaparecidos was U.S. citizen Charles Horman and song-writer Víctor Jara, and the 70 political killings by the death squad, Caravan of Death (Caravana de la Muerte) in October 1973.
Some 130,000 people were arrested in a three-year period; the dead and disappeared numbered thousands in the first months of military dictatorship. Those include the British physician Sheila Cassidy, who later brought awareness to the UK public of human rights violations in Chile. Among those detained was Alberto Bachelet (father of incumbent Chilean President Michelle Bachelet), an air force official; he was tortured and died on 12 March 1974, [11][12][13][14][15]. The right-wing newspaper, El Mercurio (The Mercury), [16] reported that Mr Bachelet died after a basketball game, citing his poor cardiac health. Michelle Bachelet and her mother were imprisoned and tortured in the Villa Grimaldi detention and torture centre on 10 January 1975
At this point no one knows what the hell you talking about Artysim.
Artysim lives in his own private world where american soldiers hide behind civilians and there is nothing wrong with it, while terrorist organizations don't because they are enlightened peace loving people.
also video and picture evidence as well as scientific analysis is not as strong as hearsay and opinion.
Naw, Artysim is just one of those people who would rather take a circular object and turn it slighty sideways and call it an oval.
You would know that before Pinochet made these free market changes the standard of living and quality of life for the average Chilean was much, much higher.
Says who?
This graph here
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Chile_GDP.jpg
says that Chile's GDP was going down under Allende and then went up dramatically two years after Pinochet took power, went downwards again in the early 80s and then skyrocketed ever since 1984. (When did Pinochet introduce the flat tax that you claimed destroyed the economy?)
This graph
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Chile_GDP_growth.png
shows that the GDP growth was negative under Allende and very positive after Pinochet took power. It reflects the setback in 1980 and has been positive every year since 1984.
Arty, it is obvious that you don't know what you are talking about. Everything you claim (and you never give sources) is so easily found out to be untrue, it's ridiculous. You keep saying things like "if you did some research you would know" and make other arrogant statements like that, despite the fact that everyone you are talking to knows more than you and has all the numbers, stats, and evidence at hand.
When I said that you and I are reading different newspapers, what I meant was that _I_ know my facts, read a lot, and visit the places I am talking about, while you make up whatever "facts" you need. And I know you are making them up as you go along because your "facts" change when you run into obstacles with them.
You are probably not used to talking to people who are well-informed and knowledgeable. You can probably convince a lot of people by saying things like "flat tax destroys economies" without giving an explanation of why that happens or a source for when it did happen. It seems that for you these subjects are academic, and by that I mean "can be discussed without researching".
But for me they are not.
I am a EU citizen who has lived in more than one EU country. Flat tax is a current policy or under discussion in many EU member states. It is not a purely academic exercise. We actually implement flat tax systems. And it's working spectacularly well! Estonia and Lithuania did not actually destroy their economies. Quite in contrast they are developing very well indeed.
Simiarly when we discuss the 2006 Lebanon war and you tell me all sorts of things about it, you forget that _I_ was actually there when it happened. Well, actually you do not forget that, but you forget what that actually means. It's not an academic exercise for me. It's my life.
Same with Iraq and the non-existent poison gas. Just last month I was actually inside a former secret police headquarters in Iraq at the Iranian border and saw with my own eyes the results of poison gas being used in civilians and was told the stories by the victims. It's not academic. It's fecking real. (Similarly, despite the well-known "fact" that Iraq didn't harbour terrorists, I was just a few miles from a place where Al-Qaeda used to be based in Iraq before 2003.)
Honestly, at least do some research before you make your arrogant short statements.
Heavier taxation of business makes the rich poorer and the poor poorer.
Lower taxation of business makes the rich richer and the poor richer
Not necessarily. It would be expected to increase the aggregate income for the country in question, but whether that translates to the poor getting richer depends on where it falls, while the same is true for the reverse. If you're raising taxes on the rich and giving that money to the poor, then the poor are likely to see an increase in their incomes; it would take a severe decrease in total income for it's effect to outweigh that of the redistributive effect on individuals, because you have the two competing impacts - the change in total income, and an opposite (for the poor) change in their own income. For the rich they're both negative, but for the poor your statement is at best highly misleading.
I see that none of you conservatives, are actually dealing with the problem of lower taxes as Larry pointed out, as I have pointed out in far too many posts. When you reduce your income you cannot pay your bills. Its not rocket science.
So, how do you Mr. Conservative, plan to reduce the trillion dollar deficit?
Well part of a tax cut would pay for itself typically (it'd only be in very extreme cases where a tax cut would increase income sufficiently for tax revenues to actually increase). As for the rest of it, it'd need to be funded by cuts in government spending (since borrowing, the 'third way' that is so favoured by conservative and liberal politicians alike, simply isn't sustainable). So you have to weigh up just how much any government spending is worth - are the beneficial effects of that spending so great as to outweigh the negative effects of the tax imposed to pay for them? (i.e. increase taxes = lower income overall. You can then try to equate this monetarily in terms of a ratio - is $1 of spending on say healthcare worth $2 lower total income? Or is it $3? Or maybe just $1.5? This will in turn affect how large a government you have. Some government services could well have a beneficial impact on total income that outweighs the decrease in total income caused by taxes (such as correcting market failure), and of course some taxes can themselves correct market failure and therefore be beneficial. As a result regardless of your beliefs as to the right size of government, these should be present anyway, so the focus can be on the more 'optional' spending programmes that don't have such 'win-win' benefits.
Incorrect, their choice changes, depending on how the tax is done.
For example, if you will tax profits only, and not provide a tax rebate for losses, you have an obvious effect: Say I can undertake a project for $40k that will either be successful (50% chance) and make $100k, or be a failure (50%) and make nothing, and this will happen fairly quickly (i.e. ignore time value of money). On normal grounds, this sounds like a great project - it'd expect to return $10k on average. Now let's introduce taxes though, and say I'll be taxed on any profits at a rate of 50%. Suddenly my expected return has fallen from $10k to -$5k. In other words on average I'd lose money by undertaking this (profitable) project.
Even if you introduce such a rebate, you still have the impact on risk - in the above case, I was using a risk neutral evaluation for simplicity. In other words, I was assuming that you'd be indifferent between a guaranteed return of $10, and the equal chance of making either $60k, or losing $40k. For most people (habitual gamblers excepted) you'd prefer the safe return of $10k, and this is borne out in the economy - the result is that if you take on more risk, you should expect a greater reward to compensate you for that risk. Thus you can lend to the government (deemed super-safe in most cases) at a rate of say 3% a year, or alternatively lend to a bank (slightly riskier) for 4%, or lend to a new startup company at a rate of 15% (numbers plucked out of the air since I can't be bothered to check the specific rates at the moment). Taxes don't take into account risk or (usually) inflation though, meaning that an increase in taxes can negatively affect investment decisions.
To give a few more numbers to illustrate this, lets say you're considering investing $100 in company A. You reckon it's fairly risky, and require an expected return of $115 to be indifferent between investing and not investing. Without taxes, it works out as being $120. With taxes at 50% of the 'profit', this falls to just $110. That means you wouldn't invest, because you'd effectively be 'losing' money. Alternatively, think of it in terms of inflation (which is a similar concept) - say that prices are increasing at 15% each year, then $115 in a years time can buy you the same things on average as $100 today. Thus if you invest in something that after taxes is only giving you $110 (but before taxes would give you $120), you're losing money.
Now the magnitude of these effects is debatable, but they do exist.
Now onto individuals working - you have a choice whether to work an extra hour, or take it as leisure, and will likely pick the option that benefits you the most. If you impose taxes, then that decreases the value of working that extra hour, since you're receiving less money from it. Meanwhile the value of that hour of leisure will be unchanged to you. Thus you would expect such an increase in taxes to decrease the amount of hours worked. There are some exceptions to this (e.g. people on low incomes will typically want to work up to a subsistence level, and it is also proposed that in some situations you can have a backwards sloping individual supply of labour curve which is based on the idea that once you hit a certain level of income you don't really care much about more income and instead prefer leisure, meaning that if you get a pay rise you'd actually decrease the hours you worked, therefore meaning a tax cut could for such a person increase the amount of hours worked), but the general rule here is also that an increase in taxes will decrease hours worked.
Well, the graphes and figures from every case we viewed show me to be correct.
But even if you are talking abstractly, no matter where the money "falls" to if there is more money it cannot possibly make the poor poorer. It can only make them richer. If business make more money, then they can pay more and thus they can hire more people / pay people more (higher competition between business for workers increasaes their wage). There is no conceiveable way that it could make them poorer.
Actually because the two are related it is impossible for the money to fall ANYWHERE. It will always be split between the rich and the poor, the rich would get an overall larger share, but both will be richer then before if the economy improves.
Quite possible (at least in theory, I can't be bothered to gather together all the various statistics and relate them to specific taxation policies to try and determine whether certain situations can happen), because of the redistributive part of the taxes. To give an (abstract) example, lets say you have two scenarios, A and B. A is a low tax scenario, and results in $100mil in the particular area (total income). Scenario B is a high tax scenario, and only results in $50mil. In both cases, the distribution of wealth/income pre-taxes is the same, with the 'rich' having 90%, and the 'poor' 10%. Now in the low tax case, this doesn't really change, so you have the poor sharing $10m, and the rich $90m. In the high tax state, we're taking lots of money from the rich and giving it to the poor, so let's say we're taking 40% of the rich's wealth and handing it over to the poor. Prior to this, the rich would have $45, and the poor $5 (with that level of total income). With redistribution, the rich now have $27m to share, and the poor have $23m. Total income has fallen, but the amount of money for the poor is higher than before (it's an extreme example btw, I'm not suggesting in real life the figures+changes would be like this, it's more to illustrate you can have falling total income yet have one group benefiting from increased income, or similarly, increasing income with one group having reduced income).
If you reread what I said, I did not say taxation of rich or poor people, I said taxation of BUSINESS ENTITIES.
business entities do the following:
-Provide dividend payments and stock value as the major income of the rich.
-Provide dividend payments and stock value as income for 401K retirement plans and saving accounts.
-Provide employment and salary to the middle class and poor.
By cutting tax on business you increase all of the above, that is why the rich and the poor got richer in the real example given here.
By increasing tax on business you decrease all of the above. Harming the rich, the middle class, and the poor.
Also what I was describing was in a sane economy. If you decide to do wealth redistribution (communism) as in your example you will immidiately destroy the economy (all the rich LEAVE the country or stop working to become poor. Making everyone dirt poor). Russia was socialist in a perpetual "transition period" towards communism... zimbabwe is a good example:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zimbabwe#Economy
In the VERY short term it is... they will be less poor for a few months as they spend the money that was given to them (after being taken)... but they will soon run out and be poorer than before. again, note zimbabwe
Well to be picky, a business would cover one run by an individual (sole trader), and hence personal taxation would be applicable, as opposed to a company which would be a separate legal entity and hence have corporation tax apply (although to be fair at some point I forgot the specific mention of business that you gave and looked more at rich/poor, so hence could've tailored my answer a bit better).
Anyway, if talking about companies, the same effects can also occur. If companies taxes are increased, that means they will likely reduce employment slightly and/or increase prices. However the end effect on the poor can still be positive, since they're getting the money from the company.
Wealth redistribution isn't communism. Communism is simply the extreme where (in pure form) you take all the income from everyone and have the state redistribute it. To argue redistribution is communism is to argue almost all of the developed countries are really communist states! As for "all" the rich leaving, again that's wrong. Some may leave, but not all, because money isn't the only consideration here (and even if it was, income after taxation wouldn't be the sole consideration) - you have the (1-off) relocation expenses, the fact that you will move away from all your friends+family, you might not be moving to an english speaking country, etc. etc., meaning you can increase taxes on the rich to make the poor richer. The same with companies, although slightly differently - as long as you can make profits, you'll have companies. An increase in tax won't remove profits, it'll simply affect the return provided. So, some companies may relocate, but not all.
A poor example, which suggests you're confusing taxation with property rights. Zimbabwe has suffered (in part) because they've ignored property rights, which form the backbone to a functioning economy. Remove them, and people will no longer be confident that they will be able to keep any of the benefits of a risk they've taken by say setting up a business or company. Companies won't want to invest for fear that the state just comes in and takes it all over, and the end result is you have an economy at deaths door. That's before you get into the issues of taking say farms away from the productive+more efficient people of society, and giving it to the less efficient ones, which obviously then reduces efficiency/productivity (ontop of the damaging effects of the destruction of property rights). Also I'm assuming we're talking about the more general taxes on income/profits (i.e. % based) as opposed to windfall taxes which would bear a bit more relation to the extreme cases such as zimbabwe.
Oh Leauki, at it again I see.
Actually, in this regard you are the ignoramus my good fellow!
You accuse me of always making up the facts to fit the situation, and yet I routinely provide my sources.
So, in regards to Chile much of my information comes from this book:
http://www.naomiklein.org/shock-doctrine
It's called the Shock Doctrine. It spends a great deal of time looking at what hapenned in Chile, economically and politically. There is an exhaustive bibliography quoting all of the sources she used in her book, which you are more than free to peruse!
Did the GDP grow under Pinochet?
Yes, absolutely. Show me where I ever disputed that.
Did standards of living increase along with the GDP for the average person?
Not by a long shot! In fact, for the average joe quality of life went into the toilet, while a very few elite were awash in unbelievable wealth. Holding to my original position, if you knew anything about Chile's history beyond a few paragraphs on wikipedia you'd know that the 70's under pinochet were a very dark time for most and a brilliant time of luxury for a very few.
But as I always have openly stated, I am an absolute idiot. Don't take my word for it. Read the book. In fact, I will buy this book and ship it to you, if you would trust me to do so. No lie. You can order it online very easily, chances are good you can get it in your local bookstore.
In fact, in this same book Naomi Klein also has some very interesting things to say about Israel and the Palestinian situation. I recommend you read it for that alone if nothing else.
Please, forgive me. I was unaware that you were driving a Merkava across the border into Lebanon (or were you piloting an F-16? I'm a little shady on that)
Ah yes, Iraq again. So, how much poison gas did Saddam have by the time that the U.S invaded in 2003?
And how large was AQ in Iraq when the U.S invaded? Did they have division sized headquarters setup to export terror around the world? Please provide sources!
Again, the Iraq invasion WOULD NOT have hapenned if the U.S people did not feel threatened by Iraq.
That threat was manufactured.
At the time of the invasion, Iraq had a very small amount of gas that was decades old.
And Iraq had no connection to 9/11.
There was no massive presence in Iraq of AQ prior to the U.S occupation.
In fact, Kuwait and Israel weren't concerned about Iraq as a threat at all, with Israel pushing the U.S to do more about Iran than Iraq.
But, you regularly accuse me of making things up.
Here is the U.S president admitting that Iraq had no WMD's and had nothing to do with 9/11
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_A77N5WKWM
but, before that there was this wonderful speech telling us that Iraq had WMD's, was hiding them, was lying about them, and was planning on using them against us;
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJEIAuUQDAc&feature=related
And, never mind that Bush went on tv and stated that Iraq was trying to get uranium from Nigeria, an accusation which was proven false and which resulted in a CIA undercover operative being revealed by a member of the White House. A member who was instantly pardoned by the president after being convicted. hhhmmmm.........
and yet I routinely provide my sources.
Actually, you never do. Do you think you are known for providing sources? I think this is the first time I ever saw a posting of yours with links!
Don't take my word for it.
Trust me. I never ever do. You are the most unreliable source I know of. Whatever you tell me, I can safely assume that the exact opposite is true. It has been hilarious.
I never said it did. The fact that George Bush also "admits" that Iraq had nothing to do with 911 doesn't surprise me.
Except in Halabja. I was there. People told me.
Thanks for the sources.
Next time please give sources for things you said which someone actually doubted, not other things that we hadn't even discussed and possibly never disagreed about (Iraq and 911).
I have heard other reports.
Plus I don't even know how you can tell the age of a gas that falls apart within weeks and then remains the same for decades. I have seen pictures of the gas being used in civilians from 15 years before the invasion. How could it have been "decades old" if it had been used less than 20 years before?
Incidentally,
http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=9384
The book you refer to as a "source" regarding Chile is an opinion about the economy, NOT a collection of facts.
Assuming that by "source" you mean opinions that agree with you (rather than facts which might or might not agree with you), I think I remember you giving a "source" once before. It was also an opinion based on no obvious research.
Now, the DATA Naomi Klein based her opinion/book on would be a "source".
It was and is politically impossible to invade Iran. It would also be the wrong strategy. Iraq had violated a cease-fire several times. It was a reasonable assumption that international law would be applied and that the UN would allow the invasion. The UN refused to follow international law, so the coalition went "alone".
I can tell you that Israel and Kuwait were concerned about Iraq as a threat, given that Israel was still suffering from Iraq-funded terrorist attacks and Kuwait was still trying to find out what happened to their citizens abducted by Iraq during the occupation.
It's the old thing again: you are telling me one thing and the locals are telling me something else. And, obviously, you are right and they are wrong.
On the contrary, it is the process of subverting the progressive system that served the nation for decades in order to unleash thievery on the national treasury, thereby reversing distributive value.
That doesn't make any sense. The "progressive system" is a redistribution system. "Subverting" it thus means stopping redistribution.
(I assume "subverting" is the new double-speak for "disagreeing with"?)
The most generous country in the world in voluntary giving, both to our own citizens in need and those of other countries, and you consider it an 'accident' on the part of people 'concerned only for themselves.' Arrogant demagogic class warfare.
You can obfuscate all you want but income redistribution (not 'spreading the wealth' - that's a fiction intended to buy votes) which is the objective of BO & the Dems is not 'progressive' anything. A nation that decides to no longer reward hard work & success is a nation that deserves what it gets.
"Subverting" means just that; the Reagan era definitely undermined a system that was working well.
I take it "undermine" is another word for "reform"?
Boy, when Obama wins, we'll have to face lots of new-speak, don't we?
In just a few months Americans who used to disagree with the President will be subverting his policies. And instead of wanting reform, they'll try to undermine his plans. I wonder if there is any other new words we will have to get used to.
It is annoying.
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